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The
Productivity Commission Draft Report recognises that because higher taxes are levied on
gaming than on most other goods and services, the “leakage” of funds resulting from
expenditure on gaming will be commensurately greater than from spending on other goods
(page 9.41). This is particularly so in Victoria, where arrangements for the provision of
EGMs result in clubs and hotels retaining a lower proportion of revenues than in other States
(notably New South Wales).
In this Supporting Paper, we report on some quantitative analysis which was performed to
identify the factors affecting the level of gaming expenditure in a region. The research uses
information collected during our study – quantitative data from official sources reported in
the regional profiles, issues raised in consultations and desk research, and data collected
through our household survey (reported in Supporting Paper No. 1). The research
undertaken integrates the findings of the different phases of the Longitudinal Community
Impact Study through an investigation of the determinants of EGM expenditure in the
regions. Comprehensive econometric analysis was performed, but not economic modelling
of the type which incorporates macro-economic variables.
We would expect that the determinants of gaming expenditure within a region would be
divided into the following broad categories:
1. Size factors
- population of the region.

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